{"generatedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:44.002Z","mode":"live_plus_replay","universe":["SPY","QQQ","IWM","SOXX","SMH","SNDK","NVDA","AVGO","MU","AMD","MRVL","ARM","META","GOOGL","MSFT","AMZN","ORCL","TSLA","AAPL","KRE","BTC","ETH","NQ","ES","US2Y","US10Y","DXY","VIX","MOVE","SKHYNIX","SAMSUNG","KOSPI","KOSDAQ","KRW","USDKRW","USDJPY"],"sources":[{"id":"sec-edgar-official","name":"SEC EDGAR official polling","tier":"T0","category":"filing","enabled":true,"configured":true,"latencyTargetMs":1500,"role":"Official first-party filings: Form 4, 8-K, S-1, S-3, 424B5.","env":["SEC_USER_AGENT"],"setup":"Set SEC_USER_AGENT / MARKET_SEC_USER_AGENT for compliant SEC access.","whyItMatters":"Closest legal first-hand source for insider transactions, offerings, and material issuer disclosures.","status":"ready"},{"id":"sec-api-stream","name":"sec-api.io Stream API","tier":"T0","category":"filing","enabled":false,"configured":false,"latencyTargetMs":500,"role":"Streaming EDGAR filings with websocket/webhook style ingest.","env":["SEC_API_KEY"],"setup":"Add SEC_API_KEY and wire websocket ingestion to cron/queue.","whyItMatters":"Reduces filing detection latency versus polling.","status":"missing"},{"id":"company-wires","name":"Company wire APIs","tier":"T0","category":"company_event","enabled":false,"configured":false,"latencyTargetMs":800,"role":"BusinessWire / PRNewswire / GlobeNewswire first-party company releases.","env":["BUSINESSWIRE_API_KEY","PRNEWSWIRE_API_KEY","GLOBENEWSWIRE_API_KEY"],"setup":"Configure at least one licensed company-wire API key.","whyItMatters":"Captures official earnings, offerings, guidance, and M&A releases before secondary articles rewrite them.","status":"missing"},{"id":"nasdaq-totalview","name":"Nasdaq TotalView / exchange direct depth","tier":"T0","category":"market_tape","enabled":false,"configured":false,"latencyTargetMs":50,"role":"Exchange-level order book depth for Nasdaq names.","env":["NASDAQ_TOTALVIEW_API_KEY","NASDAQ_TOTALVIEW_ENABLED"],"setup":"Set exchange direct-feed entitlement and adapter endpoint.","whyItMatters":"Lets the radar detect premarket/regular-session pressure before candle aggregates lag.","status":"missing"},{"id":"opra-options-feed","name":"OPRA options feed via vendor","tier":"T0","category":"options","enabled":false,"configured":false,"latencyTargetMs":100,"role":"US listed options trades/quotes, sweeps, 0DTE, IV/skew inputs.","env":["OPRA_VENDOR","INTRINIO_API_KEY","CBOE_LIVEVOL_API_KEY","DATABENTO_API_KEY"],"setup":"Use Intrinio, Cboe DataShop/LiveVol, Databento, or another OPRA-entitled vendor.","whyItMatters":"Options stress, dealer gamma, put/call, and 0DTE flow cannot be trusted from delayed retail pages.","status":"missing"},{"id":"benzinga-news-api","name":"Benzinga News API","tier":"T1","category":"news","enabled":false,"configured":false,"latencyTargetMs":900,"role":"Realtime ticker-tagged headlines and why-is-it-moving style events.","env":["BENZINGA_API_KEY"],"setup":"Set BENZINGA_API_KEY. Optional BENZINGA_NEWS_CHANNELS / BENZINGA_NEWS_IMPORTANCE.","whyItMatters":"Fast vendor news layer for financing rumors, analyst moves, halts, guidance, and breaking company headlines.","status":"missing"},{"id":"databento","name":"Databento live market data","tier":"T1","category":"market_tape","enabled":false,"configured":false,"latencyTargetMs":100,"role":"Realtime equities, futures, OPRA, and normalized market data depending on entitlements.","env":["DATABENTO_API_KEY"],"setup":"Set DATABENTO_API_KEY and dataset symbols for equities/futures/options.","whyItMatters":"Professional normalized feed for cross-asset lead-lag and volatility confirmation.","status":"missing"},{"id":"korea-market-feed","name":"KRX / Korea realtime market feed","tier":"T1","category":"global_lead_lag","enabled":false,"configured":false,"latencyTargetMs":500,"role":"SK Hynix, Samsung, KOSPI/KOSDAQ, and Korea semiconductor lead-lag tape.","env":["KRX_API_KEY","KOREA_MARKET_FEED_URL","IBKR_KOREA_MARKET_DATA_ENABLED"],"setup":"Use a licensed KRX-capable vendor endpoint, or IBKR Korea market-data entitlement for broker-side confirmation.","whyItMatters":"Korea memory names can lead MU/SMH/SOXX/NQ before US premarket fully prices the stress.","status":"missing"},{"id":"cme-nq-futures","name":"CME Nasdaq futures live feed","tier":"T1","category":"global_lead_lag","enabled":false,"configured":false,"latencyTargetMs":100,"role":"NQ futures confirmation for Korea-to-US semiconductor contagion.","env":["CME_FUTURES_FEED_URL","DATABENTO_API_KEY","IBKR_MARKET_DATA_ENABLED"],"setup":"Use Databento CME futures entitlement, CME direct/authorized vendor, or IBKR as confirmation.","whyItMatters":"NQ confirms whether Asia semiconductor stress is becoming broad US duration/high-beta pressure.","status":"missing"},{"id":"semi-premarket-feed","name":"US semiconductor premarket feed","tier":"T1","category":"market_tape","enabled":false,"configured":false,"latencyTargetMs":150,"role":"Premarket MU/SNDK/AVGO/SMH/SOXX/NVDA tape confirmation.","env":["NASDAQ_TOTALVIEW_API_KEY","DATABENTO_API_KEY","POLYGON_API_KEY","MASSIVE_API_KEY","IBKR_MARKET_DATA_ENABLED"],"setup":"Prefer exchange/direct or Databento. 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actual values.","whyItMatters":"Macro surprise scoring needs consensus and actual, not just the official release value.","status":"missing"},{"id":"coinglass-liquidations","name":"Coinglass + exchange crypto websockets","tier":"T1","category":"leverage","enabled":false,"configured":false,"latencyTargetMs":1000,"role":"Crypto liquidation, funding, open interest, and forced-deleveraging proxy.","env":["COINGLASS_API_KEY","CRYPTO_EXCHANGE_WS_ENABLED"],"setup":"Set COINGLASS_API_KEY and/or Binance/Bybit/OKX websocket adapters.","whyItMatters":"Crypto often exposes leverage stress before high-beta equities fully reprice.","status":"missing"},{"id":"lseg-reuters-dowjones","name":"Reuters / Dow Jones / Bloomberg style newswire","tier":"T1","category":"news","enabled":false,"configured":false,"latencyTargetMs":800,"role":"Top-tier market-moving newswire confirmation.","env":["LSEG_CLIENT_ID","LSEG_CLIENT_SECRET","DOWJONES_API_KEY","BLOOMBERG_API_KEY"],"setup":"Configure licensed terminal/data-platform API credentials.","whyItMatters":"High-quality confirmation source for rumor-vs-confirmed distinction.","status":"missing"},{"id":"ibkr-client-portal","name":"IBKR Client Portal / TWS API","tier":"T2","category":"market_tape","enabled":false,"configured":false,"latencyTargetMs":250,"role":"Broker quote confirmation, account risk, margin, holdings, execution bridge.","env":["IBKR_BASE_URL","IBKR_MARKET_DATA_ENABLED","IBKR_ACCOUNT_ID"],"setup":"Run IB Gateway/Client Portal, authenticate session, set IBKR_MARKET_DATA_ENABLED=true.","whyItMatters":"Best used for execution and account/margin truth, not as the only news or OPRA feed.","status":"missing"},{"id":"x-api","name":"X API / social firehose","tier":"T3","category":"news","enabled":false,"configured":false,"latencyTargetMs":900,"role":"Social early-warning and rumor discovery.","env":["X_BEARER_TOKEN"],"setup":"Use only as low-confidence corroboration unless matched by T0/T1.","whyItMatters":"Useful for velocity, but cannot trigger RED alone.","status":"missing"},{"id":"yahoo-disabled","name":"Yahoo Finance delayed fallback","tier":"T4","category":"market_tape","enabled":false,"configured":false,"latencyTargetMs":900000,"role":"Backtest or last-resort historical data only.","env":[],"setup":"Intentionally disabled for intraday risk alerts.","whyItMatters":"Retail delayed data is not acceptable as primary alert input.","status":"disabled"}],"publicSources":[{"id":"fed-official-rss","name":"Federal Reserve official RSS","tier":"T0","kind":"official_rss","active":true,"configured":true,"url":"https://www.federalreserve.gov/feeds/feeds.htm","env":[],"role":"FOMC, monetary-policy, supervision, speeches, and official Fed announcements.","marketUse":"Rates, USD, NQ/QQQ duration pressure, bank liquidity, and risk appetite.","confirmationRole":"Official first-hand source for Fed communication."},{"id":"federal-register-api","name":"Federal Register public 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communication."},{"id":"ustr-official","name":"USTR official press office","tier":"T0","kind":"official_site","active":false,"configured":false,"url":"https://ustr.gov/about-us/policy-offices/press-office","env":["USTR_FEED_URL","PUBLIC_OFFICIAL_RSS_FEEDS"],"role":"Tariffs, trade negotiations, Section 301/232 style trade actions.","marketUse":"China ADRs, semis, autos, industrials, retailers, solar, steel/aluminum.","confirmationRole":"Official trade-policy source."},{"id":"company-ir-public-feeds","name":"Company investor-relations public feeds","tier":"T0","kind":"company_ir","active":false,"configured":false,"url":"env:PUBLIC_OFFICIAL_RSS_FEEDS","env":["PUBLIC_OFFICIAL_RSS_FEEDS"],"role":"Issuer press releases and IR feeds supplied explicitly by config.","marketUse":"Offerings, guidance, earnings, product/news releases, buybacks, M&A.","confirmationRole":"Official company source when feed URL belongs to issuer/IR/wire domain."},{"id":"nyt-api","name":"New York Times API","tier":"T3","kind":"news_api","active":false,"configured":false,"url":"https://developer.nytimes.com/docs","env":["NYT_API_KEY","NYT_SIGNAL_QUERY"],"role":"High-quality public journalism and geopolitical context.","marketUse":"Context, first reported narratives, policy/geopolitical framing, not official confirmation.","confirmationRole":"Reported context only. Must be corroborated by official releases or market tape before high-severity alerts."},{"id":"gdelt-public-index","name":"GDELT public global news index","tier":"T3","kind":"news_api","active":false,"configured":true,"url":"https://www.gdeltproject.org/","env":[],"role":"Broad public global-news index for velocity and source discovery.","marketUse":"Narrative velocity, country/sector clustering, cross-source discovery.","confirmationRole":"Discovery layer only."},{"id":"jin10-public-wire","name":"Jin10 / Chinese fast-news feed","tier":"T3","kind":"aggregator","active":false,"configured":false,"url":"https://www.jin10.com/","env":["JIN10_API_KEY","JIN10_FEED_URL"],"role":"Fast Chinese-language market-news aggregation similar to the screenshot.","marketUse":"Early public headline discovery for geopolitics, commodities, FX, China/HK/US macro.","confirmationRole":"Aggregator only. It cannot confirm official actions by itself."}],"sourceSummary":{"total":17,"ready":1,"missingCritical":13,"t0Ready":1,"t1Ready":0,"t2Ready":0},"activeEvents":[{"id":"sec-MSFT-0000789019-26-000131","title":"MSFT filed 4","summary":"MSFT filed STATEMENT OF CHANGES IN BENEFICIAL OWNERSHIP OF SECURITIES. Official EDGAR disclosure.","category":"filing","eventType":"Insider Transaction Filing","sourceId":"sec-edgar-official","sourceName":"SEC EDGAR","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-12T18:07:08.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:44.001Z","latencyMs":54516001,"affectedAssets":["MSFT","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX","AI_INFRA"],"direction":"mixed","severity":66,"confidence":96,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Insider activity","single-name sentiment","requires transaction-code parsing"],"evidence":[{"label":"form","value":"4"},{"label":"accession","value":"0000789019-26-000131","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/789019/000078901926000131/xslF345X06/form4.xml"},{"label":"issuer","value":"MICROSOFT CORP"}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"mixed","horizon":"1-3d","affectedAssets":["MSFT","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX","AI_INFRA"],"reasoning":["Public signal needs tape confirmation: affected assets, yields, DXY, options skew, and sector ETF reaction decide tradability."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Public headline without confirmed market transmission","setup":"Headline is public and relevant, but market direction is not yet validated.","usualMarketImpact":"Impact is usually weak until confirmed by price, volume, options skew, yields, FX, or an official filing.","watchNext":["affected ETF reaction","volume spike","options skew","official confirmation source"],"confidence":55}]}},{"id":"sec-MSFT-0000789019-26-000130","title":"MSFT filed 4","summary":"MSFT filed STATEMENT OF CHANGES IN BENEFICIAL OWNERSHIP OF SECURITIES. Official EDGAR disclosure.","category":"filing","eventType":"Insider Transaction Filing","sourceId":"sec-edgar-official","sourceName":"SEC EDGAR","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-12T18:06:47.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:44.001Z","latencyMs":54537001,"affectedAssets":["MSFT","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX","AI_INFRA"],"direction":"mixed","severity":66,"confidence":96,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Insider activity","single-name sentiment","requires transaction-code parsing"],"evidence":[{"label":"form","value":"4"},{"label":"accession","value":"0000789019-26-000130","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/789019/000078901926000130/xslF345X06/form4.xml"},{"label":"issuer","value":"MICROSOFT CORP"}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"mixed","horizon":"1-3d","affectedAssets":["MSFT","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX","AI_INFRA"],"reasoning":["Public signal needs tape confirmation: affected assets, yields, DXY, options skew, and sector ETF reaction decide tradability."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Public headline without confirmed market transmission","setup":"Headline is public and relevant, but market direction is not yet validated.","usualMarketImpact":"Impact is usually weak until confirmed by price, volume, options skew, yields, FX, or an official filing.","watchNext":["affected ETF reaction","volume spike","options skew","official confirmation source"],"confidence":55}]}},{"id":"sec-MSFT-0000789019-26-000129","title":"MSFT filed 4","summary":"MSFT filed STATEMENT OF CHANGES IN BENEFICIAL OWNERSHIP OF SECURITIES. Official EDGAR disclosure.","category":"filing","eventType":"Insider Transaction Filing","sourceId":"sec-edgar-official","sourceName":"SEC EDGAR","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-12T18:06:25.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:44.001Z","latencyMs":54559001,"affectedAssets":["MSFT","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX","AI_INFRA"],"direction":"mixed","severity":66,"confidence":96,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Insider activity","single-name sentiment","requires transaction-code parsing"],"evidence":[{"label":"form","value":"4"},{"label":"accession","value":"0000789019-26-000129","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/789019/000078901926000129/xslF345X06/form4.xml"},{"label":"issuer","value":"MICROSOFT CORP"}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"mixed","horizon":"1-3d","affectedAssets":["MSFT","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX","AI_INFRA"],"reasoning":["Public signal needs tape confirmation: affected assets, yields, DXY, options skew, and sector ETF reaction decide tradability."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Public headline without confirmed market transmission","setup":"Headline is public and relevant, but market direction is not yet validated.","usualMarketImpact":"Impact is usually weak until confirmed by price, volume, options skew, yields, FX, or an official filing.","watchNext":["affected ETF reaction","volume spike","options skew","official confirmation source"],"confidence":55}]}},{"id":"sec-MSFT-0000789019-26-000128","title":"MSFT filed 4","summary":"MSFT filed STATEMENT OF CHANGES IN BENEFICIAL OWNERSHIP OF SECURITIES. Official EDGAR disclosure.","category":"filing","eventType":"Insider Transaction Filing","sourceId":"sec-edgar-official","sourceName":"SEC EDGAR","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-12T18:06:00.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:44.001Z","latencyMs":54584001,"affectedAssets":["MSFT","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX","AI_INFRA"],"direction":"mixed","severity":66,"confidence":96,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Insider activity","single-name sentiment","requires transaction-code parsing"],"evidence":[{"label":"form","value":"4"},{"label":"accession","value":"0000789019-26-000128","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/789019/000078901926000128/xslF345X06/form4.xml"},{"label":"issuer","value":"MICROSOFT CORP"}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"mixed","horizon":"1-3d","affectedAssets":["MSFT","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX","AI_INFRA"],"reasoning":["Public signal needs tape confirmation: affected assets, yields, DXY, options skew, and sector ETF reaction decide tradability."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Public headline without confirmed market transmission","setup":"Headline is public and relevant, but market direction is not yet validated.","usualMarketImpact":"Impact is usually weak until confirmed by price, volume, options skew, yields, FX, or an official filing.","watchNext":["affected ETF reaction","volume spike","options skew","official confirmation source"],"confidence":55}]}},{"id":"sec-MSFT-0000789019-26-000127","title":"MSFT filed 4","summary":"MSFT filed STATEMENT OF CHANGES IN BENEFICIAL OWNERSHIP OF SECURITIES. Official EDGAR disclosure.","category":"filing","eventType":"Insider Transaction Filing","sourceId":"sec-edgar-official","sourceName":"SEC EDGAR","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-12T18:05:36.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:44.001Z","latencyMs":54608001,"affectedAssets":["MSFT","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX","AI_INFRA"],"direction":"mixed","severity":66,"confidence":96,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Insider activity","single-name sentiment","requires transaction-code parsing"],"evidence":[{"label":"form","value":"4"},{"label":"accession","value":"0000789019-26-000127","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/789019/000078901926000127/xslF345X06/form4.xml"},{"label":"issuer","value":"MICROSOFT CORP"}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"mixed","horizon":"1-3d","affectedAssets":["MSFT","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX","AI_INFRA"],"reasoning":["Public signal needs tape confirmation: affected assets, yields, DXY, options skew, and sector ETF reaction decide tradability."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Public headline without confirmed market transmission","setup":"Headline is public and relevant, but market direction is not yet validated.","usualMarketImpact":"Impact is usually weak until confirmed by price, volume, options skew, yields, FX, or an official filing.","watchNext":["affected ETF reaction","volume spike","options skew","official confirmation source"],"confidence":55}]}},{"id":"sec-MSFT-0000789019-26-000126","title":"MSFT filed 4","summary":"MSFT filed STATEMENT OF CHANGES IN BENEFICIAL OWNERSHIP OF SECURITIES. Official EDGAR disclosure.","category":"filing","eventType":"Insider Transaction Filing","sourceId":"sec-edgar-official","sourceName":"SEC EDGAR","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-12T18:05:02.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:44.001Z","latencyMs":54642001,"affectedAssets":["MSFT","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX","AI_INFRA"],"direction":"mixed","severity":66,"confidence":96,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Insider activity","single-name sentiment","requires transaction-code parsing"],"evidence":[{"label":"form","value":"4"},{"label":"accession","value":"0000789019-26-000126","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/789019/000078901926000126/xslF345X06/form4.xml"},{"label":"issuer","value":"MICROSOFT CORP"}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"mixed","horizon":"1-3d","affectedAssets":["MSFT","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX","AI_INFRA"],"reasoning":["Public signal needs tape confirmation: affected assets, yields, DXY, options skew, and sector ETF reaction decide tradability."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Public headline without confirmed market transmission","setup":"Headline is public and relevant, but market direction is not yet validated.","usualMarketImpact":"Impact is usually weak until confirmed by price, volume, options skew, yields, FX, or an official filing.","watchNext":["affected ETF reaction","volume spike","options skew","official confirmation source"],"confidence":55}]}},{"id":"sec-AMD-0000002488-26-000109","title":"AMD filed 4","summary":"AMD filed FORM 4. Official EDGAR disclosure.","category":"filing","eventType":"Insider Transaction Filing","sourceId":"sec-edgar-official","sourceName":"SEC EDGAR","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-12T16:34:58.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:43.921Z","latencyMs":60045921,"affectedAssets":["AMD","SOXX","SMH","QQQ","NQ"],"direction":"mixed","severity":66,"confidence":96,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Insider activity","single-name sentiment","requires transaction-code parsing"],"evidence":[{"label":"form","value":"4"},{"label":"accession","value":"0000002488-26-000109","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2488/000000248826000109/xslF345X06/wk-form4_1781296493.xml"},{"label":"issuer","value":"ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC"}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"mixed","horizon":"1-3d","affectedAssets":["AMD","SOXX","SMH","QQQ","NQ"],"reasoning":["Public signal needs tape confirmation: affected assets, yields, DXY, options skew, and sector ETF reaction decide tradability."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Public headline without confirmed market transmission","setup":"Headline is public and relevant, but market direction is not yet validated.","usualMarketImpact":"Impact is usually weak until confirmed by price, volume, options skew, yields, FX, or an official filing.","watchNext":["affected ETF reaction","volume spike","options skew","official confirmation source"],"confidence":55}]}},{"id":"sec-AMD-0000002488-26-000107","title":"AMD filed 4","summary":"AMD filed FORM 4. Official EDGAR disclosure.","category":"filing","eventType":"Insider Transaction Filing","sourceId":"sec-edgar-official","sourceName":"SEC EDGAR","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-12T16:33:21.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:43.921Z","latencyMs":60142921,"affectedAssets":["AMD","SOXX","SMH","QQQ","NQ"],"direction":"mixed","severity":66,"confidence":96,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Insider activity","single-name sentiment","requires transaction-code parsing"],"evidence":[{"label":"form","value":"4"},{"label":"accession","value":"0000002488-26-000107","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2488/000000248826000107/xslF345X06/wk-form4_1781296397.xml"},{"label":"issuer","value":"ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC"}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"mixed","horizon":"1-3d","affectedAssets":["AMD","SOXX","SMH","QQQ","NQ"],"reasoning":["Public signal needs tape confirmation: affected assets, yields, DXY, options skew, and sector ETF reaction decide tradability."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Public headline without confirmed market transmission","setup":"Headline is public and relevant, but market direction is not yet validated.","usualMarketImpact":"Impact is usually weak until confirmed by price, volume, options skew, yields, FX, or an official filing.","watchNext":["affected ETF reaction","volume spike","options skew","official confirmation source"],"confidence":55}]}},{"id":"sec-MRVL-0001628280-26-042758","title":"MRVL filed 4","summary":"MRVL filed FORM 4. Official EDGAR disclosure.","category":"filing","eventType":"Insider Transaction Filing","sourceId":"sec-edgar-official","sourceName":"SEC EDGAR","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-12T14:18:33.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:43.903Z","latencyMs":68230903,"affectedAssets":["MRVL","SOXX","SMH","QQQ","NQ"],"direction":"mixed","severity":66,"confidence":96,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Insider activity","single-name sentiment","requires transaction-code parsing"],"evidence":[{"label":"form","value":"4"},{"label":"accession","value":"0001628280-26-042758","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1835632/000162828026042758/xslF345X06/wk-form4_1781288310.xml"},{"label":"issuer","value":"Marvell Technology, Inc."}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"mixed","horizon":"1-3d","affectedAssets":["MRVL","SOXX","SMH","QQQ","NQ"],"reasoning":["Public signal needs tape confirmation: affected assets, yields, DXY, options skew, and sector ETF reaction decide tradability."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Public headline without confirmed market transmission","setup":"Headline is public and relevant, but market direction is not yet validated.","usualMarketImpact":"Impact is usually weak until confirmed by price, volume, options skew, yields, FX, or an official filing.","watchNext":["affected ETF reaction","volume spike","options skew","official confirmation source"],"confidence":55}]}},{"id":"sec-MU-0001798757-26-000006","title":"MU filed 4","summary":"MU filed PRIMARY DOCUMENT. Official EDGAR disclosure.","category":"filing","eventType":"Insider Transaction Filing","sourceId":"sec-edgar-official","sourceName":"SEC EDGAR","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-11T23:13:59.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:43.923Z","latencyMs":122504923,"affectedAssets":["MU","SOXX","SMH","QQQ","NQ"],"direction":"mixed","severity":66,"confidence":96,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Insider activity","single-name sentiment","requires transaction-code parsing"],"evidence":[{"label":"form","value":"4"},{"label":"accession","value":"0001798757-26-000006","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/723125/000179875726000006/xslF345X06/primarydocument.xml"},{"label":"issuer","value":"MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC"}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"mixed","horizon":"1-3d","affectedAssets":["MU","SOXX","SMH","QQQ","NQ"],"reasoning":["Public signal needs tape confirmation: affected assets, yields, DXY, options skew, and sector ETF reaction decide tradability."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Public headline without confirmed market transmission","setup":"Headline is public and relevant, but market direction is not yet validated.","usualMarketImpact":"Impact is usually weak until confirmed by price, volume, options skew, yields, FX, or an official filing.","watchNext":["affected ETF reaction","volume spike","options skew","official confirmation source"],"confidence":55}]}},{"id":"sec-MU-0001798757-26-000005","title":"MU filed 3","summary":"MU filed PRIMARY DOCUMENT. Official EDGAR disclosure.","category":"filing","eventType":"Insider Transaction Filing","sourceId":"sec-edgar-official","sourceName":"SEC EDGAR","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-11T22:48:13.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:43.923Z","latencyMs":124050923,"affectedAssets":["MU","SOXX","SMH","QQQ","NQ"],"direction":"mixed","severity":66,"confidence":96,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Insider activity","single-name sentiment","requires transaction-code parsing"],"evidence":[{"label":"form","value":"3"},{"label":"accession","value":"0001798757-26-000005","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/723125/000179875726000005/xslF345X06/primarydocument.xml"},{"label":"issuer","value":"MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC"}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"mixed","horizon":"1-3d","affectedAssets":["MU","SOXX","SMH","QQQ","NQ"],"reasoning":["Public signal needs tape confirmation: affected assets, yields, DXY, options skew, and sector ETF reaction decide tradability."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Public headline without confirmed market transmission","setup":"Headline is public and relevant, but market direction is not yet validated.","usualMarketImpact":"Impact is usually weak until confirmed by price, volume, options skew, yields, FX, or an official filing.","watchNext":["affected ETF reaction","volume spike","options skew","official confirmation source"],"confidence":55}]}},{"id":"sec-GOOGL-0001193125-26-267578","title":"GOOGL filed 8-K","summary":"GOOGL filed 8-K. Official EDGAR disclosure.","category":"filing","eventType":"Material Corporate Event","sourceId":"sec-edgar-official","sourceName":"SEC EDGAR","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-11T20:17:04.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:43.925Z","latencyMs":133119925,"affectedAssets":["GOOGL","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX","AI_INFRA"],"direction":"mixed","severity":76,"confidence":96,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Company event","guidance/financing/M&A risk","requires item-level review"],"evidence":[{"label":"form","value":"8-K"},{"label":"accession","value":"0001193125-26-267578","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1652044/000119312526267578/d57679d8k.htm"},{"label":"issuer","value":"Alphabet Inc."}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"mixed","horizon":"1-3d","affectedAssets":["GOOGL","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX","AI_INFRA"],"reasoning":["Public signal needs tape confirmation: affected assets, yields, DXY, options skew, and sector ETF reaction decide tradability."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Public headline without confirmed market transmission","setup":"Headline is public and relevant, but market direction is not yet validated.","usualMarketImpact":"Impact is usually weak until confirmed by price, volume, options skew, yields, FX, or an official filing.","watchNext":["affected ETF reaction","volume spike","options skew","official confirmation source"],"confidence":55}]}},{"id":"sec-MRVL-0001193125-26-267688","title":"MRVL filed 8-K","summary":"MRVL filed 8-K. Official EDGAR disclosure.","category":"filing","eventType":"Material Corporate Event","sourceId":"sec-edgar-official","sourceName":"SEC EDGAR","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-11T16:33:54.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:43.903Z","latencyMs":146509903,"affectedAssets":["MRVL","SOXX","SMH","QQQ","NQ"],"direction":"mixed","severity":76,"confidence":96,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Company event","guidance/financing/M&A risk","requires item-level review"],"evidence":[{"label":"form","value":"8-K"},{"label":"accession","value":"0001193125-26-267688","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1835632/000119312526267688/d151562d8k.htm"},{"label":"issuer","value":"Marvell Technology, Inc."}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"mixed","horizon":"1-3d","affectedAssets":["MRVL","SOXX","SMH","QQQ","NQ"],"reasoning":["Public signal needs tape confirmation: affected assets, yields, DXY, options skew, and sector ETF reaction decide tradability."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Public headline without confirmed market transmission","setup":"Headline is public and relevant, but market direction is not yet validated.","usualMarketImpact":"Impact is usually weak until confirmed by price, volume, options skew, yields, FX, or an official filing.","watchNext":["affected ETF reaction","volume spike","options skew","official confirmation source"],"confidence":55}]}},{"id":"fed-official-rss-48bp2q","title":"Federal Reserve Board announces final rule that establishes data standards for certain information collections","summary":"Federal Reserve Board announces final rule that establishes data standards for certain information collections","category":"macro","eventType":"Fed / Rate Policy Signal","sourceId":"fed-official-rss","sourceName":"Federal Reserve","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-11T15:00:00.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:43.823Z","latencyMs":152143823,"affectedAssets":["ES","QQQ","SPY","NQ","US2Y","US10Y","DXY","VIX"],"direction":"risk_off","severity":84,"confidence":88,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Fed path","2Y yield","real rates","DXY","duration equity valuation"],"evidence":[{"label":"source","value":"Federal Reserve","url":"https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/bcreg20260611a.htm"}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"bearish","horizon":"intraday","affectedAssets":["ES","QQQ","SPY","NQ","US2Y","US10Y","DXY","VIX"],"reasoning":["Rate-path headlines transmit through 2Y yields, real rates, DXY, and long-duration equity multiples.","If DXY and 2Y/10Y rise together, the read is rate/liquidity pressure rather than clean safety bid."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Hot macro / hawkish Fed shock","setup":"Data or Fed communication pushes front-end yields higher and lowers cut probability.","usualMarketImpact":"2Y up + DXY up pressures QQQ/NQ and crowded semis; banks may diverge depending on curve shape.","watchNext":["2Y yield impulse","10Y confirmation","DXY direction","NQ vs equal-weight market breadth"],"confidence":82},{"label":"Dovish liquidity repair","setup":"Fed tone or facility language eases liquidity fears.","usualMarketImpact":"Risk assets can squeeze higher if yields fall and DXY softens; weak breadth can fade the move.","watchNext":["real yields","credit spreads","VIX term structure","SMH/QQQ reclaim levels"],"confidence":72}]}},{"id":"sec-AVGO-0001193125-26-266777","title":"AVGO filed 8-K","summary":"AVGO filed 8-K. 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Official EDGAR disclosure.","category":"filing","eventType":"Material Corporate Event","sourceId":"sec-edgar-official","sourceName":"SEC EDGAR","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-09T20:13:47.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:43.923Z","latencyMs":306116923,"affectedAssets":["MU","SOXX","SMH","QQQ","NQ"],"direction":"mixed","severity":76,"confidence":96,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Company event","guidance/financing/M&A risk","requires item-level review"],"evidence":[{"label":"form","value":"8-K"},{"label":"accession","value":"0001104659-26-071845","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/723125/000110465926071845/tm2617112d1_8k.htm"},{"label":"issuer","value":"MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC"}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"mixed","horizon":"1-3d","affectedAssets":["MU","SOXX","SMH","QQQ","NQ"],"reasoning":["Public signal needs tape confirmation: affected assets, yields, DXY, options skew, and sector ETF reaction decide tradability."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Public headline without confirmed market transmission","setup":"Headline is public and relevant, but market direction is not yet validated.","usualMarketImpact":"Impact is usually weak until confirmed by price, volume, options skew, yields, FX, or an official filing.","watchNext":["affected ETF reaction","volume spike","options skew","official confirmation source"],"confidence":55}]}},{"id":"fed-official-rss-1sdefzd","title":"Federal Reserve Board announces that results from its annual bank stress test will be released on Wednesday, June 24, at 4 p.m. EDT.","summary":"Federal Reserve Board announces that results from its annual bank stress test will be released on Wednesday, June 24, at 4 p.m. EDT.","category":"macro","eventType":"Fed / Rate Policy Signal","sourceId":"fed-official-rss","sourceName":"Federal Reserve","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-09T20:00:00.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:43.823Z","latencyMs":306943823,"affectedAssets":["ES","QQQ","SPY","NQ","US2Y","US10Y","DXY","VIX"],"direction":"risk_off","severity":84,"confidence":88,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Fed path","2Y yield","real rates","DXY","duration equity valuation"],"evidence":[{"label":"source","value":"Federal Reserve","url":"https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/bcreg20260609a.htm"}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"bearish","horizon":"intraday","affectedAssets":["ES","QQQ","SPY","NQ","US2Y","US10Y","DXY","VIX"],"reasoning":["Rate-path headlines transmit through 2Y yields, real rates, DXY, and long-duration equity multiples.","If DXY and 2Y/10Y rise together, the read is rate/liquidity pressure rather than clean safety bid."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Hot macro / hawkish Fed shock","setup":"Data or Fed communication pushes front-end yields higher and lowers cut probability.","usualMarketImpact":"2Y up + DXY up pressures QQQ/NQ and crowded semis; banks may diverge depending on curve shape.","watchNext":["2Y yield impulse","10Y confirmation","DXY direction","NQ vs equal-weight market breadth"],"confidence":82},{"label":"Dovish liquidity repair","setup":"Fed tone or facility language eases liquidity fears.","usualMarketImpact":"Risk assets can squeeze higher if yields fall and DXY softens; weak breadth can fade the move.","watchNext":["real yields","credit spreads","VIX term structure","SMH/QQQ reclaim levels"],"confidence":72}]}},{"id":"fed-official-rss-120d3f7","title":"Barr, Deregulating in a Financial Boom: What Could Go Wrong?","summary":"Speech At American University, Washington, D.C.","category":"macro","eventType":"Fed Official Communication","sourceId":"fed-official-rss","sourceName":"Federal Reserve","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-06T16:00:00.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:43.765Z","latencyMs":580543765,"affectedAssets":["SPY","QQQ"],"direction":"neutral","severity":48,"confidence":88,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Public headline watch","requires market confirmation"],"evidence":[{"label":"source","value":"Federal Reserve","url":"https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/barr20260606a.htm"}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"neutral","horizon":"intraday","affectedAssets":["SPY","QQQ"],"reasoning":["Rate-path headlines transmit through 2Y yields, real rates, DXY, and long-duration equity multiples.","If DXY and 2Y/10Y rise together, the read is rate/liquidity pressure rather than clean safety bid."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Hot macro / hawkish Fed shock","setup":"Data or Fed communication pushes front-end yields higher and lowers cut probability.","usualMarketImpact":"2Y up + DXY up pressures QQQ/NQ and crowded semis; banks may diverge depending on curve shape.","watchNext":["2Y yield impulse","10Y confirmation","DXY direction","NQ vs equal-weight market breadth"],"confidence":82},{"label":"Dovish liquidity repair","setup":"Fed tone or facility language eases liquidity fears.","usualMarketImpact":"Risk assets can squeeze higher if yields fall and DXY softens; weak breadth can fade the move.","watchNext":["real yields","credit spreads","VIX term structure","SMH/QQQ reclaim levels"],"confidence":72}]}},{"id":"sec-GOOGL-0001193125-26-260194","title":"GOOGL filed 3","summary":"GOOGL filed 3. 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Official EDGAR disclosure.","category":"filing","eventType":"Material Corporate Event","sourceId":"sec-edgar-official","sourceName":"SEC EDGAR","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-05T20:52:38.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:43.925Z","latencyMs":649385925,"affectedAssets":["GOOGL","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX","AI_INFRA"],"direction":"mixed","severity":76,"confidence":96,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Company event","guidance/financing/M&A risk","requires item-level review"],"evidence":[{"label":"form","value":"8-K"},{"label":"accession","value":"0001193125-26-259830","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1652044/000119312526259830/d36818d8k.htm"},{"label":"issuer","value":"Alphabet Inc."}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"mixed","horizon":"1-3d","affectedAssets":["GOOGL","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX","AI_INFRA"],"reasoning":["Public signal needs tape confirmation: affected assets, yields, DXY, options skew, and sector ETF reaction decide tradability."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Public headline without confirmed market transmission","setup":"Headline is public and relevant, but market direction is not yet validated.","usualMarketImpact":"Impact is usually weak until confirmed by price, volume, options skew, yields, FX, or an official filing.","watchNext":["affected ETF reaction","volume spike","options skew","official confirmation source"],"confidence":55}]}},{"id":"sec-GOOGL-0001652044-26-000059","title":"GOOGL filed 8-K","summary":"GOOGL filed 8-K. Official EDGAR disclosure.","category":"filing","eventType":"Material Corporate Event","sourceId":"sec-edgar-official","sourceName":"SEC EDGAR","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-05T20:40:20.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:43.925Z","latencyMs":650123925,"affectedAssets":["GOOGL","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX","AI_INFRA"],"direction":"mixed","severity":76,"confidence":96,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Company event","guidance/financing/M&A risk","requires item-level review"],"evidence":[{"label":"form","value":"8-K"},{"label":"accession","value":"0001652044-26-000059","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1652044/000165204426000059/goog-20260602.htm"},{"label":"issuer","value":"Alphabet Inc."}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"mixed","horizon":"1-3d","affectedAssets":["GOOGL","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX","AI_INFRA"],"reasoning":["Public signal needs tape confirmation: affected assets, yields, DXY, options skew, and sector ETF reaction decide tradability."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Public headline without confirmed market transmission","setup":"Headline is public and relevant, but market direction is not yet validated.","usualMarketImpact":"Impact is usually weak until confirmed by price, volume, options skew, yields, FX, or an official filing.","watchNext":["affected ETF reaction","volume spike","options skew","official confirmation source"],"confidence":55}]}},{"id":"sec-NVDA-0001199039-26-000005","title":"NVDA filed 4","summary":"NVDA filed FORM 4. Official EDGAR disclosure.","category":"filing","eventType":"Insider Transaction Filing","sourceId":"sec-edgar-official","sourceName":"SEC EDGAR","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-04T23:34:25.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:43.980Z","latencyMs":726078980,"affectedAssets":["NVDA","SOXX","SMH","QQQ","NQ"],"direction":"mixed","severity":66,"confidence":96,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Insider activity","single-name sentiment","requires transaction-code parsing"],"evidence":[{"label":"form","value":"4"},{"label":"accession","value":"0001199039-26-000005","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1045810/000119903926000005/xslF345X06/wk-form4_1780616062.xml"},{"label":"issuer","value":"NVIDIA CORP"}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"mixed","horizon":"1-3d","affectedAssets":["NVDA","SOXX","SMH","QQQ","NQ"],"reasoning":["Public signal needs tape confirmation: affected assets, yields, DXY, options skew, and sector ETF reaction decide tradability."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Public headline without confirmed market transmission","setup":"Headline is public and relevant, but market direction is not yet validated.","usualMarketImpact":"Impact is usually weak until confirmed by price, volume, options skew, yields, FX, or an official filing.","watchNext":["affected ETF reaction","volume spike","options skew","official confirmation source"],"confidence":55}]}},{"id":"sec-GOOGL-0001193125-26-257724","title":"GOOGL filed 8-K","summary":"GOOGL filed 8-K. 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Official EDGAR disclosure.","category":"filing","eventType":"Insider Transaction Filing","sourceId":"sec-edgar-official","sourceName":"SEC EDGAR","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-04T21:05:42.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:43.861Z","latencyMs":735001861,"affectedAssets":["ARM","SOXX","SMH","QQQ","NQ"],"direction":"mixed","severity":66,"confidence":96,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Insider activity","single-name sentiment","requires transaction-code parsing"],"evidence":[{"label":"form","value":"4"},{"label":"accession","value":"0001973239-26-000107","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1973239/000197323926000107/xslF345X06/wk-form4_1780607139.xml"},{"label":"issuer","value":"ARM HOLDINGS PLC /UK"}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"mixed","horizon":"1-3d","affectedAssets":["ARM","SOXX","SMH","QQQ","NQ"],"reasoning":["Public signal needs tape confirmation: affected assets, yields, DXY, options skew, and sector ETF reaction decide tradability."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Public headline without confirmed market transmission","setup":"Headline is public and relevant, but market direction is not yet validated.","usualMarketImpact":"Impact is usually weak until confirmed by price, volume, options skew, yields, FX, or an official filing.","watchNext":["affected ETF reaction","volume spike","options skew","official confirmation source"],"confidence":55}]}},{"id":"sec-GOOGL-0001193125-26-257702","title":"GOOGL filed 424B5","summary":"GOOGL filed 424B5. 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Official EDGAR disclosure.","category":"filing","eventType":"Insider Transaction Filing","sourceId":"sec-edgar-official","sourceName":"SEC EDGAR","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-03T23:45:36.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:43.907Z","latencyMs":811807907,"affectedAssets":["META","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX","AI_INFRA"],"direction":"mixed","severity":66,"confidence":96,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Insider activity","single-name sentiment","requires transaction-code parsing"],"evidence":[{"label":"form","value":"4"},{"label":"accession","value":"0000950103-26-008488","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1326801/000095010326008488/xslF345X06/ownership.xml"},{"label":"issuer","value":"Meta Platforms, Inc."}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"mixed","horizon":"1-3d","affectedAssets":["META","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX","AI_INFRA"],"reasoning":["Public signal needs tape confirmation: affected assets, yields, DXY, options skew, and sector ETF reaction decide tradability."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Public headline without confirmed market transmission","setup":"Headline is public and relevant, but market direction is not yet validated.","usualMarketImpact":"Impact is usually weak until confirmed by price, volume, options skew, yields, FX, or an official filing.","watchNext":["affected ETF reaction","volume spike","options skew","official confirmation source"],"confidence":55}]}},{"id":"sec-META-0000950103-26-008487","title":"META filed 4","summary":"META filed FORM 4. 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Official EDGAR disclosure.","category":"filing","eventType":"Insider Transaction Filing","sourceId":"sec-edgar-official","sourceName":"SEC EDGAR","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-03T20:46:30.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:43.862Z","latencyMs":822553862,"affectedAssets":["ARM","SOXX","SMH","QQQ","NQ"],"direction":"mixed","severity":66,"confidence":96,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Insider activity","single-name sentiment","requires transaction-code parsing"],"evidence":[{"label":"form","value":"4"},{"label":"accession","value":"0001973239-26-000105","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1973239/000197323926000105/xslF345X06/wk-form4_1780519586.xml"},{"label":"issuer","value":"ARM HOLDINGS PLC /UK"}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"mixed","horizon":"1-3d","affectedAssets":["ARM","SOXX","SMH","QQQ","NQ"],"reasoning":["Public signal needs tape confirmation: affected assets, yields, DXY, options skew, and sector ETF reaction decide tradability."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Public headline without confirmed market transmission","setup":"Headline is public and relevant, but market direction is not yet validated.","usualMarketImpact":"Impact is usually weak until confirmed by price, volume, options skew, yields, FX, or an official filing.","watchNext":["affected ETF reaction","volume spike","options skew","official confirmation source"],"confidence":55}]}},{"id":"sec-AVGO-0001730168-26-000051","title":"AVGO filed 8-K","summary":"AVGO filed 8-K. 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Official EDGAR disclosure.","category":"filing","eventType":"Insider Transaction Filing","sourceId":"sec-edgar-official","sourceName":"SEC EDGAR","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-02T21:12:24.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:43.923Z","latencyMs":907399923,"affectedAssets":["MU","SOXX","SMH","QQQ","NQ"],"direction":"mixed","severity":66,"confidence":96,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Insider activity","single-name sentiment","requires transaction-code parsing"],"evidence":[{"label":"form","value":"4"},{"label":"accession","value":"0001242654-26-000010","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/723125/000124265426000010/xslF345X06/primarydocument.xml"},{"label":"issuer","value":"MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC"}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"mixed","horizon":"1-3d","affectedAssets":["MU","SOXX","SMH","QQQ","NQ"],"reasoning":["Public signal needs tape confirmation: affected assets, yields, DXY, options skew, and sector ETF reaction decide tradability."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Public headline without confirmed market transmission","setup":"Headline is public and relevant, but market direction is not yet validated.","usualMarketImpact":"Impact is usually weak until confirmed by price, volume, options skew, yields, FX, or an official filing.","watchNext":["affected ETF reaction","volume spike","options skew","official confirmation source"],"confidence":55}]}},{"id":"sec-MU-0001242654-26-000009","title":"MU filed 4","summary":"MU filed PRIMARY DOCUMENT. Official EDGAR disclosure.","category":"filing","eventType":"Insider Transaction Filing","sourceId":"sec-edgar-official","sourceName":"SEC EDGAR","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-02T21:08:23.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:43.923Z","latencyMs":907640923,"affectedAssets":["MU","SOXX","SMH","QQQ","NQ"],"direction":"mixed","severity":66,"confidence":96,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Insider activity","single-name sentiment","requires transaction-code parsing"],"evidence":[{"label":"form","value":"4"},{"label":"accession","value":"0001242654-26-000009","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/723125/000124265426000009/xslF345X06/primarydocument.xml"},{"label":"issuer","value":"MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC"}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"mixed","horizon":"1-3d","affectedAssets":["MU","SOXX","SMH","QQQ","NQ"],"reasoning":["Public signal needs tape confirmation: affected assets, yields, DXY, options skew, and sector ETF reaction decide tradability."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Public headline without confirmed market transmission","setup":"Headline is public and relevant, but market direction is not yet validated.","usualMarketImpact":"Impact is usually weak until confirmed by price, volume, options skew, yields, FX, or an official filing.","watchNext":["affected ETF reaction","volume spike","options skew","official confirmation source"],"confidence":55}]}},{"id":"sec-AMD-0000002488-26-000105","title":"AMD filed 4","summary":"AMD filed FORM 4. Official EDGAR disclosure.","category":"filing","eventType":"Insider Transaction Filing","sourceId":"sec-edgar-official","sourceName":"SEC EDGAR","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-02T18:00:11.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:43.921Z","latencyMs":918932921,"affectedAssets":["AMD","SOXX","SMH","QQQ","NQ"],"direction":"mixed","severity":66,"confidence":96,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Insider activity","single-name sentiment","requires transaction-code parsing"],"evidence":[{"label":"form","value":"4"},{"label":"accession","value":"0000002488-26-000105","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2488/000000248826000105/xslF345X06/wk-form4_1780437609.xml"},{"label":"issuer","value":"ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC"}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"mixed","horizon":"1-3d","affectedAssets":["AMD","SOXX","SMH","QQQ","NQ"],"reasoning":["Public signal needs tape confirmation: affected assets, yields, DXY, options skew, and sector ETF reaction decide tradability."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Public headline without confirmed market transmission","setup":"Headline is public and relevant, but market direction is not yet validated.","usualMarketImpact":"Impact is usually weak until confirmed by price, volume, options skew, yields, FX, or an official filing.","watchNext":["affected ETF reaction","volume spike","options skew","official confirmation source"],"confidence":55}]}},{"id":"fed-official-rss-1p23380","title":"Agencies remove additional references to reputation risk","summary":"Agencies remove additional references to reputation risk","category":"macro","eventType":"Fed Official Communication","sourceId":"fed-official-rss","sourceName":"Federal Reserve","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-02T15:00:00.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:43.823Z","latencyMs":929743823,"affectedAssets":["ES","MOVE"],"direction":"neutral","severity":48,"confidence":88,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Public headline watch","requires market confirmation"],"evidence":[{"label":"source","value":"Federal Reserve","url":"https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/bcreg20260602a.htm"}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"neutral","horizon":"intraday","affectedAssets":["ES","MOVE"],"reasoning":["Rate-path headlines transmit through 2Y yields, real rates, DXY, and long-duration equity multiples.","If DXY and 2Y/10Y rise together, the read is rate/liquidity pressure rather than clean safety bid."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Hot macro / hawkish Fed shock","setup":"Data or Fed communication pushes front-end yields higher and lowers cut probability.","usualMarketImpact":"2Y up + DXY up pressures QQQ/NQ and crowded semis; banks may diverge depending on curve shape.","watchNext":["2Y yield impulse","10Y confirmation","DXY direction","NQ vs equal-weight market breadth"],"confidence":82},{"label":"Dovish liquidity repair","setup":"Fed tone or facility language eases liquidity fears.","usualMarketImpact":"Risk assets can squeeze higher if yields fall and DXY softens; weak breadth can fade the move.","watchNext":["real yields","credit spreads","VIX term structure","SMH/QQQ reclaim levels"],"confidence":72}]}},{"id":"sec-GOOGL-0001193125-26-252439","title":"GOOGL filed 424B5","summary":"GOOGL filed 424B5. Official EDGAR disclosure.","category":"filing","eventType":"Offering / Financing Filing","sourceId":"sec-edgar-official","sourceName":"SEC EDGAR","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-02T10:49:01.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:43.925Z","latencyMs":944802925,"affectedAssets":["GOOGL","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX","AI_INFRA"],"direction":"risk_off","severity":84,"confidence":96,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Potential dilution or debt supply","liquidity absorption","sector sentiment repricing"],"evidence":[{"label":"form","value":"424B5"},{"label":"accession","value":"0001193125-26-252439","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1652044/000119312526252439/d150348d424b5.htm"},{"label":"issuer","value":"Alphabet Inc."}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"bearish","horizon":"intraday","affectedAssets":["GOOGL","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX","AI_INFRA"],"reasoning":["Equity or convertible financing can add share supply, signal funding need, and pressure high-multiple peers.","The first reaction is often bearish for the issuer unless proceeds clearly de-risk growth or balance-sheet stress."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"AI / mega-cap financing headline replay","setup":"Large-cap growth company signals possible equity or convertible financing for capex.","usualMarketImpact":"Issuer often sells first; AI/semiconductor suppliers can weaken if investors read it as capex funding stress.","watchNext":["SEC 424B5 / 8-K confirmation","issuer premarket volume","QQQ/SMH sympathy","IV crush risk after the first gap"],"confidence":74},{"label":"High-beta secondary offering pattern","setup":"Company adds share supply after a strong run or while funding a large buildout.","usualMarketImpact":"First move is usually dilution pressure; rebound depends on pricing discount and use-of-proceeds credibility.","watchNext":["final offering size","pricing discount","bookrunner demand","whether prior low holds after open"],"confidence":70}]}},{"id":"sec-GOOGL-0001193125-26-252392","title":"GOOGL filed 424B5","summary":"GOOGL filed 424B5. Official EDGAR disclosure.","category":"filing","eventType":"Offering / Financing Filing","sourceId":"sec-edgar-official","sourceName":"SEC EDGAR","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-02T10:10:45.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:43.925Z","latencyMs":947098925,"affectedAssets":["GOOGL","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX","AI_INFRA"],"direction":"risk_off","severity":84,"confidence":96,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Potential dilution or debt supply","liquidity absorption","sector sentiment repricing"],"evidence":[{"label":"form","value":"424B5"},{"label":"accession","value":"0001193125-26-252392","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1652044/000119312526252392/d152175d424b5.htm"},{"label":"issuer","value":"Alphabet Inc."}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"bearish","horizon":"intraday","affectedAssets":["GOOGL","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX","AI_INFRA"],"reasoning":["Equity or convertible financing can add share supply, signal funding need, and pressure high-multiple peers.","The first reaction is often bearish for the issuer unless proceeds clearly de-risk growth or balance-sheet stress."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"AI / mega-cap financing headline replay","setup":"Large-cap growth company signals possible equity or convertible financing for capex.","usualMarketImpact":"Issuer often sells first; AI/semiconductor suppliers can weaken if investors read it as capex funding stress.","watchNext":["SEC 424B5 / 8-K confirmation","issuer premarket volume","QQQ/SMH sympathy","IV crush risk after the first gap"],"confidence":74},{"label":"High-beta secondary offering pattern","setup":"Company adds share supply after a strong run or while funding a large buildout.","usualMarketImpact":"First move is usually dilution pressure; rebound depends on pricing discount and use-of-proceeds credibility.","watchNext":["final offering size","pricing discount","bookrunner demand","whether prior low holds after open"],"confidence":70}]}},{"id":"sec-GOOGL-0001193125-26-252374","title":"GOOGL filed 424B5","summary":"GOOGL filed 424B5. Official EDGAR disclosure.","category":"filing","eventType":"Offering / Financing Filing","sourceId":"sec-edgar-official","sourceName":"SEC EDGAR","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-02T10:05:55.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:43.925Z","latencyMs":947388925,"affectedAssets":["GOOGL","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX","AI_INFRA"],"direction":"risk_off","severity":84,"confidence":96,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Potential dilution or debt supply","liquidity absorption","sector sentiment repricing"],"evidence":[{"label":"form","value":"424B5"},{"label":"accession","value":"0001193125-26-252374","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1652044/000119312526252374/d159942d424b5.htm"},{"label":"issuer","value":"Alphabet Inc."}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"bearish","horizon":"intraday","affectedAssets":["GOOGL","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX","AI_INFRA"],"reasoning":["Equity or convertible financing can add share supply, signal funding need, and pressure high-multiple peers.","The first reaction is often bearish for the issuer unless proceeds clearly de-risk growth or balance-sheet stress."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"AI / mega-cap financing headline replay","setup":"Large-cap growth company signals possible equity or convertible financing for capex.","usualMarketImpact":"Issuer often sells first; AI/semiconductor suppliers can weaken if investors read it as capex funding stress.","watchNext":["SEC 424B5 / 8-K confirmation","issuer premarket volume","QQQ/SMH sympathy","IV crush risk after the first gap"],"confidence":74},{"label":"High-beta secondary offering pattern","setup":"Company adds share supply after a strong run or while funding a large buildout.","usualMarketImpact":"First move is usually dilution pressure; rebound depends on pricing discount and use-of-proceeds credibility.","watchNext":["final offering size","pricing discount","bookrunner demand","whether prior low holds after open"],"confidence":70}]}},{"id":"sec-ARM-0001973239-26-000103","title":"ARM filed 4","summary":"ARM filed FORM 4. Official EDGAR disclosure.","category":"filing","eventType":"Insider Transaction Filing","sourceId":"sec-edgar-official","sourceName":"SEC EDGAR","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-01T20:33:04.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:43.862Z","latencyMs":996159862,"affectedAssets":["ARM","SOXX","SMH","QQQ","NQ"],"direction":"mixed","severity":66,"confidence":96,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Insider activity","single-name sentiment","requires transaction-code parsing"],"evidence":[{"label":"form","value":"4"},{"label":"accession","value":"0001973239-26-000103","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1973239/000197323926000103/xslF345X06/wk-form4_1780345980.xml"},{"label":"issuer","value":"ARM HOLDINGS PLC /UK"}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"mixed","horizon":"1-3d","affectedAssets":["ARM","SOXX","SMH","QQQ","NQ"],"reasoning":["Public signal needs tape confirmation: affected assets, yields, DXY, options skew, and sector ETF reaction decide tradability."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Public headline without confirmed market transmission","setup":"Headline is public and relevant, but market direction is not yet validated.","usualMarketImpact":"Impact is usually weak until confirmed by price, volume, options skew, yields, FX, or an official filing.","watchNext":["affected ETF reaction","volume spike","options skew","official confirmation source"],"confidence":55}]}},{"id":"sec-MRVL-0001628280-26-039656","title":"MRVL filed 4","summary":"MRVL filed FORM 4. Official EDGAR disclosure.","category":"filing","eventType":"Insider Transaction Filing","sourceId":"sec-edgar-official","sourceName":"SEC EDGAR","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-01T20:32:23.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:43.903Z","latencyMs":996200903,"affectedAssets":["MRVL","SOXX","SMH","QQQ","NQ"],"direction":"mixed","severity":66,"confidence":96,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Insider activity","single-name sentiment","requires transaction-code parsing"],"evidence":[{"label":"form","value":"4"},{"label":"accession","value":"0001628280-26-039656","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1835632/000162828026039656/xslF345X06/wk-form4_1780360341.xml"},{"label":"issuer","value":"Marvell Technology, Inc."}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"mixed","horizon":"1-3d","affectedAssets":["MRVL","SOXX","SMH","QQQ","NQ"],"reasoning":["Public signal needs tape confirmation: affected assets, yields, DXY, options skew, and sector ETF reaction decide tradability."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Public headline without confirmed market transmission","setup":"Headline is public and relevant, but market direction is not yet validated.","usualMarketImpact":"Impact is usually weak until confirmed by price, volume, options skew, yields, FX, or an official filing.","watchNext":["affected ETF reaction","volume spike","options skew","official confirmation source"],"confidence":55}]}},{"id":"fed-official-rss-1hl1fv2","title":"Powell, Acceptance Remarks","summary":"Speech For the 2026 John F. Kennedy Profile in Courage Award, John F. Kennedy Library Foundation, Boston, Massachusetts","category":"macro","eventType":"Fed Official Communication","sourceId":"fed-official-rss","sourceName":"Federal Reserve","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-01T00:30:00.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:43.765Z","latencyMs":1068343765,"affectedAssets":["SPY","QQQ"],"direction":"neutral","severity":48,"confidence":88,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Public headline watch","requires market confirmation"],"evidence":[{"label":"source","value":"Federal Reserve","url":"https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/powell20260531a.htm"}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"neutral","horizon":"intraday","affectedAssets":["SPY","QQQ"],"reasoning":["Rate-path headlines transmit through 2Y yields, real rates, DXY, and long-duration equity multiples.","If DXY and 2Y/10Y rise together, the read is rate/liquidity pressure rather than clean safety bid."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Hot macro / hawkish Fed shock","setup":"Data or Fed communication pushes front-end yields higher and lowers cut probability.","usualMarketImpact":"2Y up + DXY up pressures QQQ/NQ and crowded semis; banks may diverge depending on curve shape.","watchNext":["2Y yield impulse","10Y confirmation","DXY direction","NQ vs equal-weight market breadth"],"confidence":82},{"label":"Dovish liquidity repair","setup":"Fed tone or facility language eases liquidity fears.","usualMarketImpact":"Risk assets can squeeze higher if yields fall and DXY softens; weak breadth can fade the move.","watchNext":["real yields","credit spreads","VIX term structure","SMH/QQQ reclaim levels"],"confidence":72}]}}],"replayEvents":[{"id":"replay-2026-06-05-nfp","title":"Replay: hot NFP created hawkish shock","summary":"May payrolls beat consensus, reducing rate-cut expectations and pressuring long-duration equity.","category":"macro","eventType":"Macro Policy Shock","sourceId":"replay-casebook","sourceName":"Replay casebook","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"replay","publishedAt":"2026-06-05T08:30:00-04:00","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:44.002Z","latencyMs":null,"affectedAssets":["QQQ","SOXX","NQ","US2Y","DXY"],"direction":"risk_off","severity":86,"confidence":82,"canEscalateRed":false,"transmission":["NFP surprise","2Y yield up","Fed path repricing","high-duration equity compression"],"evidence":[{"label":"case","value":"2026-06-05 macro replay"}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"bearish","horizon":"intraday","affectedAssets":["QQQ","SOXX","NQ","US2Y","DXY"],"reasoning":["Rate-path headlines transmit through 2Y yields, real rates, DXY, and long-duration equity multiples.","If DXY and 2Y/10Y rise together, the read is rate/liquidity pressure rather than clean safety bid."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Hot macro / hawkish Fed shock","setup":"Data or Fed communication pushes front-end yields higher and lowers cut probability.","usualMarketImpact":"2Y up + DXY up pressures QQQ/NQ and crowded semis; banks may diverge depending on curve shape.","watchNext":["2Y yield impulse","10Y confirmation","DXY direction","NQ vs equal-weight market breadth"],"confidence":82},{"label":"Dovish liquidity repair","setup":"Fed tone or facility language eases liquidity fears.","usualMarketImpact":"Risk assets can squeeze higher if yields fall and DXY softens; weak breadth can fade the move.","watchNext":["real yields","credit spreads","VIX term structure","SMH/QQQ reclaim levels"],"confidence":72}]}},{"id":"replay-2026-06-05-meta-financing","title":"Replay: META potential equity financing headline","summary":"Potential equity raise for AI infrastructure created dilution and AI capex funding concern.","category":"company_event","eventType":"Equity Financing / Dilution Concern","sourceId":"replay-casebook","sourceName":"Replay casebook","sourceTier":"T1","confirmationStatus":"replay","publishedAt":"2026-06-05T13:30:00-04:00","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:44.002Z","latencyMs":null,"affectedAssets":["META","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX"],"direction":"risk_off","severity":84,"confidence":74,"canEscalateRed":false,"transmission":["AI capex financing","possible dilution","mega-cap sentiment","semiconductor demand chain"],"evidence":[{"label":"case","value":"reported-not-confirmed event replay"}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"bearish","horizon":"intraday","affectedAssets":["META","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX"],"reasoning":["Equity or convertible financing can add share supply, signal funding need, and pressure high-multiple peers.","The first reaction is often bearish for the issuer unless proceeds clearly de-risk growth or balance-sheet stress."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"AI / mega-cap financing headline replay","setup":"Large-cap growth company signals possible equity or convertible financing for capex.","usualMarketImpact":"Issuer often sells first; AI/semiconductor suppliers can weaken if investors read it as capex funding stress.","watchNext":["SEC 424B5 / 8-K confirmation","issuer premarket volume","QQQ/SMH sympathy","IV crush risk after the first gap"],"confidence":74},{"label":"High-beta secondary offering pattern","setup":"Company adds share supply after a strong run or while funding a large buildout.","usualMarketImpact":"First move is usually dilution pressure; rebound depends on pricing discount and use-of-proceeds credibility.","watchNext":["final offering size","pricing discount","bookrunner demand","whether prior low holds after open"],"confidence":70}]}},{"id":"replay-korea-memory-stress","title":"Replay: Korea memory leverage stress lead-lag","summary":"Regional semiconductor weakness and forced liquidation headlines can transmit into MU/SOXX/NQ.","category":"global_lead_lag","eventType":"Korea Memory Stress","sourceId":"replay-casebook","sourceName":"Replay casebook","sourceTier":"T1","confirmationStatus":"replay","publishedAt":"2026-06-05T02:30:00-04:00","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:44.002Z","latencyMs":null,"affectedAssets":["MU","SOXX","SMH","NVDA","USDKRW","KOSPI"],"direction":"risk_off","severity":82,"confidence":70,"canEscalateRed":false,"transmission":["Asia semis lead US semis","memory chain pressure","FX stress","NQ hedge pressure"],"evidence":[{"label":"case","value":"global lead-lag replay"}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"bearish","horizon":"intraday","affectedAssets":["MU","SOXX","SMH","NVDA","USDKRW","KOSPI"],"reasoning":["Public signal needs tape confirmation: affected assets, yields, DXY, options skew, and sector ETF reaction decide tradability."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Public headline without confirmed market transmission","setup":"Headline is public and relevant, but market direction is not yet validated.","usualMarketImpact":"Impact is usually weak until confirmed by price, volume, options skew, yields, FX, or an official filing.","watchNext":["affected ETF reaction","volume spike","options skew","official confirmation source"],"confidence":55}]}}],"scores":{"macroHawkScore":44,"leverageUnwindScore":10,"globalContagionScore":10,"megaCapShockScore":80,"optionsStressScore":10,"liquidityStressScore":10,"newsVelocityScore":10,"fragilityScore":24,"triggerScore":39,"marketRiskScore":29,"level":"GREEN","regime":"Normal monitoring","action":"Normal monitoring. Keep position sizing rules intact."},"asiaSemiTape":[{"id":"sk-hynix-open","label":"SK Hynix open","market":"Korea","requiredSourceIds":["korea-market-feed","ibkr-client-portal"],"whatToWatch":"Opening gap, first 30-60 minutes, and whether sellers keep hitting bids after the first flush.","riskOffTrigger":"Direct open collapse, failed bounce, or limit-down / near limit-down behavior.","riskOnRepair":"Gap-down gets absorbed, price reclaims VWAP/first reaction high, and Samsung is not confirming weakness.","affectedAssets":["MU","SNDK","SMH","SOXX","NQ"],"tradingRead":"If Hynix cannot hold, do not bottom-fish US memory names on the first red print.","sourceStatus":"missing"},{"id":"samsung-memory-confirmation","label":"Samsung confirmation","market":"Korea","requiredSourceIds":["korea-market-feed","ibkr-client-portal"],"whatToWatch":"Whether Samsung confirms Hynix weakness or stays resilient as the higher-quality liquidity anchor.","riskOffTrigger":"Samsung breaks with Hynix, showing sector-wide Korea memory stress instead of one-name liquidation.","riskOnRepair":"Samsung holds flat/green while Hynix stabilizes, lowering contagion probability into US semis.","affectedAssets":["MU","SNDK","AVGO","SMH","SOXX"],"tradingRead":"Hynix plus Samsung both weak is the cleaner pressure signal for US semis.","sourceStatus":"missing"},{"id":"kospi-kosdaq-breadth","label":"KOSPI / KOSDAQ breadth","market":"Korea","requiredSourceIds":["korea-market-feed"],"whatToWatch":"Index breadth, semiconductor subsector participation, and whether small-cap risk gets liquidated too.","riskOffTrigger":"KOSDAQ accelerates lower with KOSPI, pointing to broad risk-off rather than isolated memory weakness.","riskOnRepair":"Indexes stabilize and breadth improves after the open.","affectedAssets":["EWY","QQQ","NQ","SMH"],"tradingRead":"Broad Korea weakness raises odds that US beta opens heavy even if single-name semis look mixed.","sourceStatus":"missing"},{"id":"krw-fx-stress","label":"KRW / USDKRW","market":"FX","requiredSourceIds":["korea-market-feed","polygon-massive","ibkr-client-portal"],"whatToWatch":"USDKRW spike, won liquidity stress, and whether FX confirms equity pressure.","riskOffTrigger":"KRW weakens while Korea semis sell off, indicating foreign outflow / stress confirmation.","riskOnRepair":"KRW stabilizes or strengthens while Korea equity stops making new lows.","affectedAssets":["USDKRW","EWY","QQQ","NQ"],"tradingRead":"FX confirmation matters; equity-only dips can reverse, equity plus FX stress is harder to fade.","sourceStatus":"missing"},{"id":"nq-futures","label":"NQ futures","market":"US premarket","requiredSourceIds":["cme-nq-futures","databento","ibkr-client-portal"],"whatToWatch":"Whether NQ absorbs Asia weakness or breaks the overnight range / prior low.","riskOffTrigger":"NQ loses overnight support while Korea memory tape stays weak.","riskOnRepair":"NQ reclaims overnight VWAP/key trend line after Korea stops making new lows.","affectedAssets":["NQ","QQQ","SMH","SOXX"],"tradingRead":"NQ is the transmission check from local Korea stress to US high-beta stress.","sourceStatus":"missing"},{"id":"smh-soxx-premarket","label":"SOXX / SMH premarket","market":"US premarket","requiredSourceIds":["semi-premarket-feed","nasdaq-totalview","databento","polygon-massive"],"whatToWatch":"Premarket gap, liquidity, recovery attempts, and whether ETFs break the prior low.","riskOffTrigger":"SOXX/SMH fail every bounce and break prior low after Korea weakness.","riskOnRepair":"ETF lower low fails, price reclaims key trend line, and put skew starts mean-reverting.","affectedAssets":["SMH","SOXX","NVDA","AVGO","MU"],"tradingRead":"Do not use the first ETF dip as confirmation. Wait for structure.","sourceStatus":"missing"},{"id":"mu-sndk-avgo-premarket","label":"MU / SNDK / AVGO premarket","market":"US premarket","requiredSourceIds":["semi-premarket-feed","nasdaq-totalview","databento","polygon-massive"],"whatToWatch":"Memory sympathy in MU/SNDK and AI infrastructure read-through in AVGO.","riskOffTrigger":"MU/SNDK gap down hard and AVGO joins instead of acting defensive.","riskOnRepair":"MU/SNDK stabilize while AVGO/NVDA/SMH hold above premarket lows.","affectedAssets":["MU","SNDK","AVGO","NVDA","SMH","SOXX"],"tradingRead":"If Korea is not collapsing, US semis can repair; if MU/SNDK/AVGO confirm, pressure is real.","sourceStatus":"missing"},{"id":"put-skew-reversion","label":"Put skew / options stress","market":"Options","requiredSourceIds":["opra-options-feed"],"whatToWatch":"SMH/SOXX put skew, sweep pressure, IV jump, and whether skew starts mean-reverting.","riskOffTrigger":"Put skew steepens while ETF price keeps making lower lows.","riskOnRepair":"Put skew mean-reverts while price stops breaking down.","affectedAssets":["SMH","SOXX","QQQ","NQ"],"tradingRead":"For dip buys, skew repair is better confirmation than a single green candle.","sourceStatus":"missing"}],"priceAnomalyReport":{"generatedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:44.002Z","enabled":true,"mode":"live_plus_replay","universe":["META","NVDA","AVGO","MU","SNDK","SMH","SOXX","QQQ"],"providers":[{"id":"nasdaq-totalview","name":"Nasdaq TotalView / direct depth","tier":"T0","status":"disabled","latencyTargetMs":50,"env":["NASDAQ_TOTALVIEW_ENABLED","NASDAQ_TOTALVIEW_WS_URL","NASDAQ_TOTALVIEW_API_KEY"],"role":"Best source for Nasdaq order-book imbalance, depth pulls, queue depletion, and premarket pressure."},{"id":"databento","name":"Databento equities/futures/options","tier":"T1","status":"missing","latencyTargetMs":100,"env":["DATABENTO_API_KEY"],"role":"Preferred normalized vendor path for equities, NQ futures, and OPRA when direct exchange feeds are not installed."},{"id":"polygon-massive","name":"Polygon / Massive realtime tape","tier":"T1","status":"missing","latencyTargetMs":250,"env":["POLYGON_API_KEY","MASSIVE_API_KEY"],"role":"Executable MVP feed for last trade, NBBO, large prints, and premarket US equity pressure."},{"id":"moomoo-openapi","name":"Moomoo OpenAPI / OpenD","tier":"T2","status":"disabled","latencyTargetMs":300,"env":["MOOMOO_MARKET_DATA_ENABLED","MOOMOO_OPEND_HOST","MOOMOO_OPEND_PORT","MOOMOO_TRADE_ENABLED"],"role":"Your familiar execution screen and optional OpenD quote/trade gateway. Default is manual ticket generation, not live API trading."},{"id":"ibkr-market-data","name":"IBKR market data","tier":"T2","status":"missing","latencyTargetMs":250,"env":["IBKR_MARKET_DATA_ENABLED","IBKR_BASE_URL","IBKR_ACCOUNT_ID"],"role":"Broker-side quote/account/margin confirmation and execution bridge. Useful truth source, not the only signal feed."}],"sourceSummary":{"ready":0,"missing":3,"adapterPending":0,"primaryTapeReady":false,"liveOrderLocked":true,"paperAutomationEnabled":false},"executionPreference":{"primaryPlatform":"moomoo","mode":"manual_first","moomooOpenApiConfigured":false,"ibkrConfigured":false,"note":"Moomoo is selected as the primary human execution platform. AXIO7 generates tickets/checklists; you place the order manually in Moomoo."},"signals":[{"id":"price-anomaly-replay-meta-2026-06-13T09:15:44.002Z","ticker":"META","level":"ORANGE","direction":"down","score":78,"confidence":72,"provider":"replay","mode":"replay","spot":null,"previousClose":null,"changePct":-3.8,"benchmarkRelativePct":-2.4,"reason":"Replay template: issuer trades sharply below QQQ while supply/financing headline risk is active.","likelyCause":"Likely dilution/supply shock if confirmed by SEC 8-K/S-3/424B5, company wire, or Benzinga/newswire. If no headline appears, treat as price-led unknown and wait for confirmation.","matchedEvents":[{"id":"sec-META-0000950103-26-008488","title":"META filed 4","summary":"META filed FORM 4. Official EDGAR disclosure.","category":"filing","eventType":"Insider Transaction Filing","sourceId":"sec-edgar-official","sourceName":"SEC EDGAR","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-03T23:45:36.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:43.907Z","latencyMs":811807907,"affectedAssets":["META","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX","AI_INFRA"],"direction":"mixed","severity":66,"confidence":96,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Insider activity","single-name sentiment","requires transaction-code parsing"],"evidence":[{"label":"form","value":"4"},{"label":"accession","value":"0000950103-26-008488","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1326801/000095010326008488/xslF345X06/ownership.xml"},{"label":"issuer","value":"Meta Platforms, Inc."}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"mixed","horizon":"1-3d","affectedAssets":["META","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX","AI_INFRA"],"reasoning":["Public signal needs tape confirmation: affected assets, yields, DXY, options skew, and sector ETF reaction decide tradability."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Public headline without confirmed market transmission","setup":"Headline is public and relevant, but market direction is not yet validated.","usualMarketImpact":"Impact is usually weak until confirmed by price, volume, options skew, yields, FX, or an official filing.","watchNext":["affected ETF reaction","volume spike","options skew","official confirmation source"],"confidence":55}]}},{"id":"sec-META-0000950103-26-008487","title":"META filed 4","summary":"META filed FORM 4. Official EDGAR disclosure.","category":"filing","eventType":"Insider Transaction Filing","sourceId":"sec-edgar-official","sourceName":"SEC EDGAR","sourceTier":"T0","confirmationStatus":"official_confirmed","publishedAt":"2026-06-03T23:42:18.000Z","receivedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:43.907Z","latencyMs":812005907,"affectedAssets":["META","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX","AI_INFRA"],"direction":"mixed","severity":66,"confidence":96,"canEscalateRed":true,"transmission":["Insider activity","single-name sentiment","requires transaction-code parsing"],"evidence":[{"label":"form","value":"4"},{"label":"accession","value":"0000950103-26-008487","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1326801/000095010326008487/xslF345X06/ownership.xml"},{"label":"issuer","value":"Meta Platforms, Inc."}],"impactAssessment":{"bias":"mixed","horizon":"1-3d","affectedAssets":["META","QQQ","NVDA","AVGO","SOXX","AI_INFRA"],"reasoning":["Public signal needs tape confirmation: affected assets, yields, DXY, options skew, and sector ETF reaction decide tradability."],"historicalAnalogs":[{"label":"Public headline without confirmed market transmission","setup":"Headline is public and relevant, but market direction is not yet validated.","usualMarketImpact":"Impact is usually weak until confirmed by price, volume, options skew, yields, FX, or an official filing.","watchNext":["affected ETF reaction","volume spike","options skew","official confirmation source"],"confidence":55}]}}],"features":[{"label":"Price first","value":"-3.8%","score":38,"note":"Move is large enough to demand attribution before trading."},{"label":"Relative beta","value":"-2.4%","score":12,"note":"Underperforms QQQ, pointing to single-name pressure."},{"label":"Headline match","value":"META filed 4","score":16,"note":"Financing-style events usually pressure issuer first."}],"analogs":[{"label":"Mega-cap equity financing / offering","setup":"Issuer-specific supply or dilution headline while broad beta is weak.","observedPattern":"Issuer often gaps down first; market stabilizes only if proceeds reduce balance-sheet risk or index beta repairs.","nextChecks":["SEC 8-K/S-3/424B5","company IR wire","QQQ relative reclaim","put skew mean reversion"]}],"execution":{"action":"PAPER_REDUCE_RISK","mode":"recommendation_only","rationale":"Replay only. No live order can be routed from simulated tape.","liveOrderAllowed":false},"manualExecution":{"platform":"moomoo","mode":"manual_only","ticker":"META","side":"HEDGE","orderStyle":"DEFINED_RISK_OPTIONS_ONLY","trigger":"Only hedge/reduce risk after failed reclaim or second-leg breakdown. Current context: -3.80% move, -2.40% vs benchmark basket.","invalidation":"Do not chase if IV/spread already expanded and price is far below VWAP; wait for failed bounce or use defined risk.","sizeHint":"Start tiny. Default max idea risk 0.25%-0.50% account until live slippage, spread, and confirmation quality are measured.","checklist":["Confirm ticker, route, buying power, and extended-hours setting in Moomoo before touching the order ticket.","T0/T1 event matched. Read the original filing/wire before order entry.","Compare against QQQ/SMH/SOXX and closest peers. Avoid single-name interpretation if the whole basket is moving.","Use limit orders for shares. For options, prefer defined-risk structures after checking bid/ask and IV.","Write the thesis in one sentence before entry; if you cannot, do not trade."],"warnings":["AXIO7 is not sending this to the broker. You are manually deciding and entering any Moomoo order.","Do not use market orders in thin premarket/after-hours tape.","If you are unfamiliar with IBKR, do not switch execution platforms during a live stress event."]},"generatedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:44.002Z"},{"id":"price-anomaly-replay-semis-2026-06-13T09:15:44.002Z","ticker":"SMH","level":"YELLOW","direction":"mixed","score":62,"confidence":65,"provider":"replay","mode":"replay","spot":null,"previousClose":null,"changePct":-1.6,"benchmarkRelativePct":-0.9,"reason":"Replay template: Korea memory stress transmits into US semis, but repair is possible if NQ and SMH reclaim VWAP.","likelyCause":"Global lead-lag contagion from Hynix/Samsung/KRW into MU/AVGO/NVDA/SMH.","matchedEvents":[],"features":[{"label":"Korea lead-lag","value":"watch","score":22,"note":"Start with SK Hynix, Samsung, KOSPI/KOSDAQ, and KRW."},{"label":"US transmission","value":"watch","score":20,"note":"Confirm with NQ futures and SMH/SOXX premarket."}],"analogs":[{"label":"Asia semiconductor liquidation into US premarket","setup":"Korea memory names break first, NQ and US semis follow.","observedPattern":"First wave can overshoot. Better short entries come after failed rebound; dip buys need no second-leg liquidation.","nextChecks":["Hynix/Samsung low retest","USDKRW","NQ overnight VWAP","SMH/SOXX put skew"]}],"execution":{"action":"WATCH","mode":"recommendation_only","rationale":"Replay only. Wait for live tape confirmation.","liveOrderAllowed":false},"manualExecution":{"platform":"moomoo","mode":"manual_only","ticker":"SMH","side":"WATCH","orderStyle":"WATCH_ONLY","trigger":"Watch only until live tape and cause attribution improve. Current context: -1.60% move, -0.90% vs benchmark basket.","invalidation":"No trade until a clean trigger appears.","sizeHint":"0% risk. Observation only.","checklist":["Confirm ticker, route, buying power, and extended-hours setting in Moomoo before touching the order ticket.","No T0/T1 event match yet. Treat cause as unconfirmed.","Compare against QQQ/SMH/SOXX and closest peers. Avoid single-name interpretation if the whole basket is moving.","Use limit orders for shares. For options, prefer defined-risk structures after checking bid/ask and IV.","Write the thesis in one sentence before entry; if you cannot, do not trade."],"warnings":["AXIO7 is not sending this to the broker. You are manually deciding and entering any Moomoo order.","Do not use market orders in thin premarket/after-hours tape.","If you are unfamiliar with IBKR, do not switch execution platforms during a live stress event."]},"generatedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:44.002Z"}],"rules":["Price/flow anomaly comes first; headlines are used to explain or confirm, not to replace tape.","Nasdaq TotalView / Databento / Polygon / Massive / Moomoo OpenAPI / IBKR can trigger this engine; Yahoo-style delayed data cannot.","If price moves hard before a confirmed headline, mark the cause as unconfirmed and keep checking SEC, company wires, Benzinga/newswire, and macro feeds.","Moomoo manual execution is the default human workflow. Paper automation can be enabled separately. Live broker API orders remain locked unless credentials, risk limits, compliance gates, and user confirmation are present."],"disclaimer":"Research and risk-control tooling only. This detector surfaces abnormal tape and possible causes; it does not guarantee next-day direction."},"tacticalPlaybook":[{"id":"do-not-watch-us-only","side":"neutral","title":"Monday premarket: do not stare only at US quotes","trigger":"Korea opens before US premarket gives a clean semiconductor read.","confirmation":["Track SK Hynix, Samsung, KOSPI/KOSDAQ, KRW, NQ futures, SOXX/SMH premarket, MU/SNDK/AVGO premarket.","If Korea does not collapse, US semis may repair into the US session.","If Korea opens directly into liquidation and Hynix/Samsung cannot hold, MU/SNDK/SMH/SOXX/NQ likely face pressure."],"avoid":["Do not treat a delayed US quote page as the primary signal.","Do not call a bottom before Korea stops making new lows."],"structures":["Watchlist mode","Hedge review","No new leverage until confirmation"]},{"id":"semi-dip-buy-confirmation","side":"dip_buy","title":"If buying the semiconductor dip, do not rush the first wave","trigger":"Only consider dip-buying after the first forced-selling wave has been tested.","confirmation":["Korea does not print a second-leg liquidation.","US semiconductors do not break the prior low.","Put skew starts mean-reverting.","NQ/SMH reclaim the key trend line or overnight VWAP."],"avoid":["Avoid catching the first red candle.","Avoid adding leverage while Korea, FX, and NQ are all confirming risk-off."],"structures":["Small starter only after confirmation","Defined-risk call spread if IV is elevated","Wait for reclaim instead of guessing the low"]},{"id":"semi-short-structure","side":"short","title":"If shorting, do not chase the low","trigger":"Wait for key market structure to break after the initial flush.","confirmation":["Hynix/Samsung remain weak after the open.","SMH/SOXX or NQ break prior low / overnight support.","Put skew remains bid instead of mean-reverting."],"avoid":["Avoid naked all-in puts after IV already exploded.","Avoid shorting after a vertical move without a failed rebound.","Remember: gap-down plus reversal plus IV crush can kill naked puts even if the thesis is directionally right."],"structures":["Put spread","Bear call spread","Small SMH/SOXX put spread","Wait for rebound to short if first wave is already extended"]}],"alertDelivery":{"enabled":false,"minLevel":"ORANGE","minScore":70,"cooldownMinutes":30,"telegramConfigured":false,"webhookConfigured":false,"redisCooldownConfigured":true,"cronPath":"/api/cron/global-signal-alerts","deliveryTargets":[],"missingEnv":["TELEGRAM_BOT_TOKEN + TELEGRAM_CHAT_ID or GLOBAL_SIGNAL_ALERT_WEBHOOK_URL","GLOBAL_SIGNAL_ALERTS_ENABLED=true"]},"rules":["T3/T4 sources cannot trigger RED alerts by themselves.","RED requires T0/T1 confirmation or market-confirmed T2 price stress plus another independent source.","Rumor headlines must be marked reported_not_confirmed until an official filing, company wire, or first-tier newswire confirms them.","No delayed retail data is used as the primary source for intraday alerts.","This system emits risk actions and scenario probabilities, not guaranteed price predictions."],"providerWarnings":["BENZINGA_API_KEY missing: realtime professional headline adapter is not active.","OPRA options feed missing: options stress score cannot be trusted for live intraday alerts.","Macro consensus feed missing: NFP/CPI surprise scoring needs Trading Economics or Econoday.","IBKR not configured: execution, margin, and broker-side account risk are not connected.","Korea market feed missing: SK Hynix/Samsung/KOSPI/KRW lead-lag checklist is not live yet.","US semiconductor premarket feed missing: MU/SNDK/AVGO/SMH/SOXX confirmation is not live yet."],"disclaimer":"Research and risk-control tooling only. It is not investment advice and does not execute trades. Professional feeds require proper licenses and exchange entitlements."}