Smart Money & Options Intel

BLK

Three-in-one intel view: Option Probability (lognormal terminal-price model), Max Pain (dealer pin map from open interest), and Institutional 13F (latest reported positions from Goldman, JPMorgan, Jane Street, Citadel, Susquehanna, Renaissance — with quarter-over-quarter deltas).

$1050.09

6/18/2026, 8:00:04 PM

Option Probability · risk-neutral / model-implied

BLK Option Probability

Lognormal terminal-price model. Approximation only — not a guaranteed forecast and not investment advice. Volatility source: Historical volatility fallback, not live options IV.

Prob. above target

84.73%

Prob. below target

15.27%

Expected move

±41.62 (4.0%)

spot 1050.09target 1008.5189695210081063111911751230Probability densityUnderlying price at expiration
1σ range 2σ range above target8d to expiry · σ 26.8% · r 4.50% · q 0.00%

Days to expiry

8

σ (annual)

26.76%

1σ low

1009.51

1σ high

1092.75

2σ low

970.29

2σ high

1136.91

Model: lognormal terminal-price model with drift μ = ln(S₀) + (r − q − ½σ²)T and std σ√T. Probabilities are risk-neutral and shift with assumed IV, rate, and dividend yield. They are not guaranteed forecasts and do not constitute investment advice.

Max Pain · unavailable

BLK Max Pain · 2026-06-26

The strike where total option writer payout (call + put) is minimized at expiration — i.e. where dealers would prefer the stock to settle. Convergence is a tendency, not a guarantee; treat it as one piece of structural evidence alongside flow and catalysts.

Options chain unavailable for BLK (Yahoo blocked or no listed expiries). ConfigureIBKR_BASE_URL orPOLYGON_API_KEY to enable Max Pain.

Institutional 13F · SEC

BLK 大机构持仓扫描

On-demand 拉取 Goldman Sachs、JPMorgan、Jane Street、Citadel 等最新公开 13F。注意:13F 是季度披露, 不是实时仓位;它回答“这些大机构上一季公开报了什么”,不是“此刻正在买卖什么”。

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