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Option ProbabilityMax Pain13F Holdings

205.19

+0.32 · +0.16%

6/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM

RSI(14)

42.1

SMA20

214.62

SMA50

206.91

SMA200

189.26

距 200DMA

+8.42%

5D / 1M

+0.04% / -9.14%

Option Probability · risk-neutral / model-implied

NVDA Option Probability

Lognormal terminal-price model. Approximation only — not a guaranteed forecast and not investment advice. Volatility source: Historical volatility fallback, not live options IV.

Prob. above target

84.50%

Prob. below target

15.50%

Expected move

±11.35 (5.5%)

spot 205.19target 193.85164180195210226241256Probability densityUnderlying price at expiration
1σ range 2σ range above target7d to expiry · σ 40.0% · r 4.50% · q 0.00%

Days to expiry

7

σ (annual)

39.96%

1σ low

194.01

1σ high

216.72

2σ low

183.57

2σ high

229.05

Model: lognormal terminal-price model with drift μ = ln(S₀) + (r − q − ½σ²)T and std σ√T. Probabilities are risk-neutral and shift with assumed IV, rate, and dividend yield. They are not guaranteed forecasts and do not constitute investment advice.

期权分析

期权链当前不可达(Yahoo 拒绝 datacenter IP,或该 ticker 无可选期权链)。配置 IBKR_BASE_URL + IBKR_MARKET_DATA_ENABLED 可走 IBKR Client Portal;配置 POLYGON_API_KEY 可走 Polygon snapshot/OI。

Institutional 13F · SEC

NVDA 大机构持仓扫描

On-demand 拉取 Goldman Sachs、JPMorgan、Jane Street、Citadel 等最新公开 13F。注意:13F 是季度披露, 不是实时仓位;它回答“这些大机构上一季公开报了什么”,不是“此刻正在买卖什么”。

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